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Contact Page Importance of Blackjack Variances The importance of blackjack variances and a proper understanding of variance in gambling cannot be underestimated. So what are blackjack variances? Payout Percentages and the House Edge The short answer is that blackjack variances are the deviations from expected payback in blackjack. It is closely tied to the house edge.
The house edge exists so the casino stays in business, because casino games are typically weighted in the favor of the casino and against the player. The house edge in blackjack for a player using "perfect" or optimal basic strategy is only around 0. This makes blackjack actually one of the best games in the casino. Therefore, the amount your blackjack session deviates from expectation is the variance. Blackjack Deviations Your results will vary each time you bet on blackjack.
Most of the time when playing blackjack, your results will vary widely, from large losses to large wins. Seldom will a player with a Expectation involves the odds about what you can expect to win or lose over a long period of time. This kind of deviation can fool a player at the blackjack table. Where the problem comes in is when you are a professional or serious amateur blackjack player, and you are trying out some new blackjack tips, recently learned blackjack strategy or card counting techniques.
Because even really long sessions of blackjack are just a small sampling of the possibilities. You may just be riding the highs or lows of the blackjack variances. So the importance of blackjack variances is they can fool us into false assumptions about our blackjack playing.
Players need to understand the nature of blackjack variances, then, and learn to analyze their game based not entirely on results, but on the soundness of the strategy being employed. You can make all the right moves and lose, and you can make all the wrong moves and win. Sometimes you beat the odds. Standard Deviation To get an idea about our real expectations when playing blackjack, consider the standard deviation.